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When a Sell-off is Just Sentiment: Focus on Fundamentals

When emotions run high, markets may freefall. Yet, we believe that the recent risk-off market didn’t make sense in the face of solid real estate and credit fundamentals. Here’s what we saw to forecast the rebound.

Market Cues Can Forecast Opportunities

The Economy


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Despite a slower Q4, 2018 GDP matched 2015 for the top performance since 2008.1

Real Estate


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This year-over-year increase puts prices 30 percent above 2007 levels.2



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Default rates are forecast to sit at roughly half of their long-term averages in 2019.3

Observed Premiums to Private Market Values (%)

Green Street Advisors. Commercial Property Outlook March 7, 2019.

Assessing Expensive Public Markets

A suddenly dovish Fed and positive real estate cash flows are propping up values, especially in the public markets. Get our perspective on current valuations, as well as where to look for value late in the cycle.


Credit Risk Embedded in Barclays Agg

Bloomberg. Barclays U.S. Aggregate Total Return Value Index. 12/08-12/18.

Planing for The End of the Cycle

Navigating the Fed’s U-turn on rates may mean avoiding an interest rate bet. Focus on low defaults in high yield and the increased risk embedded in passive fixed-income strategies. Read our views on building resiliency into your fixed income.


Resource is the marketing name for Resource Real Estate, LLC, Resource Alternative Advisor, LLC, and their affiliates. Resource may distribute certain products through Resource Securities LLC, a wholly owned broker/dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC


The information contained herein does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to purchase securities. Such offers or solicitations can only be made by means of a prospectus. Prior to making any investment decision, you should read the applicable prospectus carefully and consider the risks, charges, expenses and other important information described therein. The value of your investments may decline, and you could lose some or all of your investment. To obtain a prospectus containing this and other information, please call (866) 773-4120 or download the file from Read the prospectus carefully before you invest.


Resource has an interval fund that is distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc. (ALPS Distributors, Inc. 1290 Broadway, Suite 1100, Denver, CO 80203). Resource Alternative Advisor, LLC, Resource Real Estate, LLC, their affiliates, and ALPS Distributors, Inc. are not affiliated.


Performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results and investment returns and principal value of the Fund will fluctuate so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance data quoted above. For performance information current to the most recent month-end, please call toll-free (866) 773-4120 or visit


All statements and information other than statements of historical fact included on this website regarding strategy, future operations, financial position, estimated revenues, projected costs, prospects, plans and objectives of management are forward-looking statements. When used on this website, the words “could,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such identifying words. You should not place undue influence on these forward-looking statements. Although we believe that our plans, intentions and expectations reflected in or suggested by the forward-looking statements we make on this website are reasonable, we can give no assurance that these plans, intentions or expectations will be achieved because of the number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, including but not limited to uncertainties concerning the properties being operated and sold or refinanced, leverage and meeting debt service obligations, operating properties in different locations throughout the U.S., general, market or business conditions and changes in laws or regulations. These cautionary statements qualify all forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf. To check the background of Resource Securities LLC or any registered individual, please go to FINRA’s BrokerCheck.